Professor Norman Fenton post about the new study by Ioannidis et al that claims millions of lives were saved by the covid vaxx

“Imagine that we want to test the claim that a special diet – let’s call it D – that consists of consuming 10,000 calories a day without any exercise will lead to weight loss of 50 pounds in 5 weeks. To make such a bold claim you would expect us to examine the evidence by comparing the recorded weight of people before and after being on the diet. But suppose instead our ‘evidence’ is nothing other than following mathematical model: Weight loss after n weeks in pounds = n x efficiency_D where efficiency_D is the average weekly weight loss of diet D. Suppose further that we assume: efficiency_D = 10 Then, with these assumptions we compute Weight loss after 5 weeks in pounds = 5 x 10 = 50 QED! We can now trust the claim that the special diet D does indeed lead to weight loss of 50 pounds in 5 weeks and we can believe this with full certainty (hand on heart). Would you be convinced by this argument?

Read on at (6) Prof Norman Fenton on X: “1. This post is about the new study by Ioannidis et al that claims millions of lives were saved by the covid vaxx. Full reference links are in the subsequent parts of the thread: Imagine that we want to test the claim that a special diet – let’s call it D – that consists of https://t.co/XnQExPpdaJ” / X

Published by markskidmore

Mark Skidmore is Professor of Economics at Michigan State University where he holds the Morris Chair in State and Local Government Finance and Policy. His research focuses on topics in public finance, regional economics, and the economics of natural disasters. Mark created the Lighthouse Economics website and blog to share economic research and information relevant for navigating tumultuous times.

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