COVID-19 Risk Calculator

The South Dakota Department of Health has developed a COVID Age Calculator that is based on actual data on COVID-related hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and fatalities. If you are concerned about your personal risk, you can go to this website, input some of your basic health information (age, gender, weight, underlying health conditions, etc.) and the tool will calculate your risk. For healthy people, the risk of surviving is 99.5% or higher.

COVID-19 Testing Yields 90% False Positives

On August 29, 2020 the New York Times published an article indicating that about 90% of those who tested positive for COVID-19 have such insignificant amounts of the virus present, that they are not contagious and that the virus poses no significant health risk.  About 90% of those who tested positive for COVID-19 have such a small amount of the virus present in their bodies that these individuals do not need to isolate, and they are not candidates for contact tracing.  The NYT states that “Most of these people are not likely to be contagious.”  “In three sets of testing data…compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90% of people testing positive carried barely any virus, a review by The Times found.”  Why are we basing policy on a testing procedure the yields 90% false positives?

No Lock Down Sweden COVID-19 Fatality Comparisons Using Excess Mortality Data

Excess mortality in Sweden with no lockdown, no masks, and limited social distancing in comparison to other countries (spoiler—as of November 1, 2020 Sweden is among the lowest with negative excess mortality). You can select multiple countries including the United States for comparison.

Legislation for Digital Money and Digital Wallets

U.S. government legislation authorizing the Federal Reserve to create Digital Money and Digital Wallets (introduced on March 23, 2020, no other action yet taken). I expect that this legislation will be passed so that during the next economic crisis the Fed can create electronic “money” and disburse such funds to people.  I believe enactment will generate inflation (which is a must with the massive debt overhang), provide funds to people, and serve as the mechanism for introducing universal basic income.